Nationwide have just announced a 1% fall in property prices for February 2010, this is after a period of over 9 months with reported increases, so what is happening, what is the prospect for property prices in 2010?
We have previously blogged about the weakness of the property market and that we are not in a normal market where any increases or decreases can be taken as predictors for future prices. The fact is the volume of property sales is well below historical averages, this lends itself to more unpredictable property prices.
Other factors also come into play, in particular the restoration of stamp duty thresholds on 1st January 2010. Such changes in an already thin market have a more pronounced effect on property prices.
But key for most of us will be future property prices. Unfortunately it is tough to predict, as we highlighted in our blog post about property prices in October last year. The key factor for 2010 will be the election, who gets in power and what actions will they take to address the UK’s economic issues. Whilst we are not in the same precarious situation as Greece we do have challenges to face, and how we face them will impact property prices.
So, back to the heading of this post, predicting property prices in 2010. The fact is this year will probably be one of the most difficult to predict, because we have so many unknowns with the pending election. Our best guess is that prices will be relatively flat in 2010, some months of increase, some of decrease. Time will tell!