Put simply the banks still do not have enough money to lend, something many property buyers may have realised or at least suspected, but why is this so?
As at September 2009 it is estimated that banks operating in the UK had a combined liquidity of £280bn, this is liquid assets, as defined by the FSA, that a bank could readily call upon. The total of £280bn may seem a large figure and in some respects it is, but it has been determined that the banking industry may need a total of £620bn in qualifying liquid assets, and at the very least £390bn giving an effective shortfall of £110bn.
The result of the shortfall means that banks must take action to increase their liquidity, such action not only restricts the amount banks can lend but it also impacts on their profitability.
The potential danger of the liquidity targets effectively imposed by the FSA is that bank lending will be restrained, both in the amounts lent and the cost of lending, to enable banks to put in place the liquidity targets.
Some analysts are concerned that the targets imposed could restrict support for economic growth at a time when reduced public spending and potential tax rises will also start to impact the economy from 2010. Potentially the combination of cut backs in government spending and restricted bank lending could have a double blow for the property market; which may result in a more protracted and “bumpy” recovery.